Samarkand journalist Toshpulat Rakhmatullaev analyzing and pondering on revolutions occurred in a number of former Soviet republics decided to share his thoughts about the fate of Uzbekistan. He highlights several serious problems present in Uzbekistan that could provoke people to radical actions. He suggests that cooperation between people and government is required to avoid that scenario and he believes that it is vitally important for the entire region.
In recent years we see increasing number of scientific studies on the topic of the potential impact of the “Arabian Spring” in the countries of Central Asia. Some scientists and experts are predicting “color revolutions” in the region, while others believe that in some countries, such as Uzbekistan, nothing revolutionary in political terms is not going to happen.
I believe that any revolution would be disastrous in Uzbekistan. Radicalism here can lead to unpredictable consequences. The country has strengthened opposition of the internal clans, ethnic groups, representatives of different religions, the currently low standard of living will decline even more.
Experts believe that the main destabilizing factors that led to the events in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan have become internal problems. Almost all of the “color revolutions” – are the results of deep frustration of the masses caused by abused power of the government. Shortsighted radical oppositions financially supported by west easily can take advantage of agitated people masses.
All revolutions happened when people did not see any alternatives. “Poverty leads to revolution, the revolution – to poverty”, – said Victor Hugo. Results of the “color revolutions” have shown that they do not improve the welfare of the people, on the contrary, in many cases, the countries have lost their position achieved by many years of work in the world community.