Opinion: Uzbekistan expects “double-digit inflation” and riots

The national currency of Uzbekistan continues devaluation  against US dollar, loosing about 10% during over the last week. IA REGNUM published prognosis by an Uzbek expert, who preferred to remain anonymous.

“Exacerbation of the crisis in Russia, and tightening of immigration control in that country has a direct impact on the national currency of Uzbekistan” – said the expert.
According to him, Uzbekistan expects “double-digit inflation,” since most of the products in the country in varying degrees, have import content. The expert noted that Uzbekistan can expect difficult times.

Hundreds of thousands of Uzbek migrants working in Russia. They will all become unemployed free radicals in Uzbekistan, should the crisis in Russia force them to return back home. Migrants who have worked in Russia – is a completely different mentality; they are people who have learned to “fight for their rights”,  express their opinion without fearing of prosecution, in other words, they are very different from the “domestic” population, who never left Uzbekistan “– sais the expert. “They are going to be the “fifth column” in Uzbekistan! Not some liberals paid by evil Western forces, but our own ordinary migrant workers back from Russia, that is who going to become the troublemakers here.”

“They can catalyze the unrest that could escalate into a wider riots. This can benefit from external forces from Afghanistan, as recently pointed out by the Uzbek authorities, “- said the expert.

In this regard, the analyst pointed to the need to “create new, real jobs, fastening regulatory and other bodies, which do not allow to develop business in the country.”

“The situation in Uzbekistan depends on the political will of the leadership, which must  enable business,  liberalize the media, as an institution of social control” – said the expert.

Forceful solution to the problems might be efficient but temporal“, – concluded the agency.


About Ahmed Islamov

I was born and raised in Uzbekistan and lived in that country for about two thirds of my life. I left the country about 14 years ago but sustained tight bonds with my family and friends living there. I know and communicate personally with hundreds of people including blue-, white- or pink-collar workers. I am naturally very attached to and concerned with everything that is going on there.
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